Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.001049 0.001193 0.001337 0.001492 0.001654 0.001817 0.001993
2025-11-30 0.000875 0.001087 0.001305 0.001546 0.001802 0.002065 0.002354
2025-12-07 0.000694 0.000952 0.001227 0.001538 0.001874 0.002225 0.002615
2025-12-14 0.000528 0.000816 0.001134 0.001503 0.001909 0.002339 0.002822
2025-12-21 0.000430 0.000746 0.001106 0.001532 0.002009 0.002518 0.003095
2025-12-28 0.000315 0.000642 0.001031 0.001502 0.002037 0.002615 0.003275
2026-01-04 0.000238 0.000573 0.000991 0.001506 0.002100 0.002747 0.003490
2026-01-11 0.000165 0.000500 0.000938 0.001492 0.002138 0.002847 0.003668
2026-01-18 0.000108 0.000437 0.000892 0.001481 0.002177 0.002947 0.003842
2026-01-25 0.000047 0.000349 0.000806 0.001417 0.002150 0.002969 0.003928
2026-02-01 0.000015 0.000291 0.000755 0.001391 0.002166 0.003037 0.004063
2026-02-08 0.000001 0.000254 0.000728 0.001394 0.002213 0.003139 0.004233
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000202 0.000688 0.001393 0.002274 0.003279 0.004471
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000181 0.000691 0.001449 0.002405 0.003501 0.004805
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000134 0.000648 0.001443 0.002461 0.003636 0.005041
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000086 0.000588 0.001411 0.002482 0.003730 0.005230
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000065 0.000575 0.001441 0.002579 0.003912 0.005518
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000032 0.000522 0.001411 0.002600 0.004003 0.005702
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000015 0.000496 0.001416 0.002663 0.004142 0.005938
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000002 0.000458 0.001402 0.002700 0.004249 0.006137
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000425 0.001392 0.002740 0.004359 0.006338
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000361 0.001329 0.002710 0.004382 0.006438
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000324 0.001304 0.002727 0.004462 0.006601